Prior week — call accuracy
- Correct — Predicted a bracketed range in the green box (the 50% / 618 Fib): CVD shows buyers at the box bottom and absorption of longs (lower highs) at the top, exactly as called.
Macro and the week ahead
- Range-bound — COT commercials edged back to slightly net long at the box edge (no appetite to short), retail leaving; daily CVD shows downtrend exhaustion (little appetite to sell lower).
- Base case still a break DOWN later in the year into the astrology windows — daily money flow is weak. (Money flow can 'skip rocks' all year and still grind up, as in 2024.)
- Gold falling and Bitcoin (a leading indicator) down to the flagged green lines.
Key stock analysis
- Short bias on the S&P; this week was crypto-heavy with little stock-specific work.
Bitcoin and crypto
- Bitcoin dropped to the pre-Trump 'irrational-zone' high-volume node — a good area of balance (fundamentally stronger since Trump); started a 100% spot position (risk/reward 3.68R–8R+ to highs). Could range or dip to the ~mid-50s anchored VWAP / golden pocket.
- A 3-day bullish divergence is forming, but 3-day money flow is still tapering and the Wolf Pack hasn't crossed — no leverage yet; he wants a red-candle liquidity-grab low (so one more swing is likely).
- COT: a big step-up in commercials buying BTC and ETH as retail sells — like the last bear-market low (the standout bullish tell). Epstein-files PR is a near-term Bitcoin headwind, leaving Ethereum relatively favoured.
Astrology and space
- Covered — the Mercury-retrograde window where markets tend to 'spaz out' (war / tariffs / a shutdown); the flagged green lines.
Positioning (as stated)
- 100% spot Bitcoin and spot Ethereum (no leverage, awaiting the Wolf Pack); short bias on the S&P.
Key takeaways
- S&P ranging in the green box — base case a break down later into the astrology windows; money flow weak.
- Bitcoin at pre-Trump fair value — accumulate spot (started 100%), but wait for the 3-day Wolf Pack before leverage (one more dip to the mid-50s likely).
- COT commercials stepping into BTC/ETH like the last bear-market low is the bullish standout.
- Be cautiously optimistic in the fear; Ethereum the multi-year outperformer.
Summary of the weekly members video for educational purposes only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a trade signal. Past analysis is not indicative of future results.