Prior week — call accuracy
- Correct — Flipped bias last week to expect price to blow through the green box; it's grinding up with no resistance seen until the 1-Fibonacci extension (~3% higher).
- Robinhood — re-bought 100% size on the pullback (entry shared in Discord), targeting value-area-high ~$120 / highs, ~113% from entry.
Macro and the week ahead
- S&P grinding higher (a 1-hour bearish divergence but no absorption); ~3% to the 1-Fibonacci extension; the valuation tool isn't frothy.
- COT — retail finally has appetite again (fuel for equities); commercials very long Bitcoin; the Russell 2000 is at new highs while crypto lags, an arbitrage gap.
- Watching for retail to rotate into crypto — not yet.
Key stock analysis
- Robinhood — 100% size, target ~$120 / highs (~113%); a beta catch-up play.
- Meta — started 50% after weak earnings; wants the green box for the rest; target the all-time high (~37%).
- McDonald's — full size (VIX-correlation hedge, dividend); earnings Thursday.
- Tezos — started a 50% position.
Bitcoin and crypto
- Bitcoin — money flow green on the daily and weekly (3-day turning); historically the bear low is in. Broke out of the downtrend channel and is pushing through the Market Cipher A bear-market band; target ~$88k.
- Ethereum — lagging; a catch-up trade to POC (~10%, or a clean 2R with leverage).
- Bitmine — an ETH proxy at ~1:1 MNAV with money flow green; targets the high-20s (+20%) then 30s, with MNAV expansion later (Tom Lee's comp target is $125, +445%).
- PEPE — full size from the lows (down 85%); target POC (+77%), scaling out toward value-area-high (+300%).
Astrology and space
- Not covered in this week's video.
Positioning (as stated)
- Robinhood (full), Meta (50%), McDonald's (full), Tezos (50%), PEPE (full).
- Bitcoin, Ethereum and Bitmine accumulated. Bullish and deployed.
Key takeaways
- Ride the betas that haven't rotated yet (Robinhood) as the S&P grinds to the 1-Fibonacci extension.
- Crypto bear low looks in (money flow green across timeframes) — accumulate BTC/ETH/Bitmine.
- Ethereum is the catch-up; PEPE the risk-on expression.
- Returning retail appetite is the fuel.
Summary of the weekly members video for educational purposes only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a trade signal. Past analysis is not indicative of future results.