Prior week — call accuracy
- On thesis — building on the 2026 roadmap from last week: major CVD warning signs this January (uptrend exhaustion), rare on the daily — like the run-up to last year's Liberation Day.
- S&P at the $7,000 'randomness number' / green-box resistance, ~4 weeks from the first (mid-Feb) confusion window.
Macro and the week ahead
- COT commercials net short (selling) while retail buys the top — be careful, don't FOMO; closed Meta (-7%) and rebought 50%, keeping a healthy cash buffer and no leverage.
- Metals parabolic (silver +7%) but retail-driven with commercials short — a speculative bubble; when gold finally pops it likely flips the whole market risk-off (mid-late-cycle behaviour).
- Expect a valuation reset for the S&P (toward the anchored VWAP) in the green-line windows; small caps breaking highs while the Nasdaq doesn't is a late-cycle concern.
Key stock analysis
- Copart — the inverse-Mag7 long hedge (daily bullish divergence / Wolf Pack green; a relief-rally setup).
- Tesla — buy the green-box low-volume-node on a pullback. Meta — buy zone at value-area-low (trimmed risk). Oracle — a rotation, may exit at breakeven.
- Yonex (badminton / tennis rackets) — a social-arbitrage idea, +30–40%, ~4R.
Bitcoin and crypto
- Bitcoin — commercials still reducing shorts and retail net long again, so if commercials keep buying it can push up; a weekly hidden bullish divergence at the Fib golden pocket points to a relief rally (toward 786 / POC / $100k), but likely a lower high then a drop into the green box = the end of the bear.
- Daily / 4-hour money flow green with momentum green dots — a near-term push to POC; snipe on the 24-min.
- Ethereum the Q1 outperformer — a confident push could target a new all-time high while Bitcoin only makes a lower high (the year-start ETH-over-BTC idea).
Astrology and space
- Covered — the green-line 'confusion clusters' from the year roadmap (astrological windows).
Positioning (as stated)
- Light / no leverage; Meta 50% (trimmed); Copart the hedge; spot BTC/ETH; watching Tesla, Oracle, Yonex; Ethereum the Q1 outperformance idea.
Key takeaways
- S&P flashing warnings (CVD exhaustion, commercials net short, RSI divergence, $7,000) — don't FOMO, hold cash, no leverage; a valuation reset is likely into the mid-Feb confusion window.
- Metals parabolic and retail-driven — when gold pops, risk-off.
- Crypto: a relief rally is possible (commercials buying, hidden bull divs) but likely a lower high then one more dip = the bear low; Ethereum the Q1 outperformer.
- Copart the inverse-Mag7 hedge.
Summary of the weekly members video for educational purposes only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a trade signal. Past analysis is not indicative of future results.