Prior week — call accuracy
- On thesis — S&P daily momentum turned positive for the first time in the pullback, in the Mercury-retrograde / Uranus-into-Gemini window where the bottom was expected; rotated value-area-low to POC.
- Confirmation needed — a retest of the 200-day moving average holding as a higher low would confirm the low and open a run to new highs.
Macro and the week ahead
- Base case: the low is in; if the trendline holds, expect an imbalance higher into a strong summer trading window.
- Now the time to introduce leverage — started leverage-trading Mag7 (Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, AMD, Amazon, Google, Apple, Tesla) as momentum turns, like the Liberation-Day low.
- Mid-term year: produce P&L in this window and be out before the September chop. Valuation tool back to red after the pullback = bottoming, provided the trendline holds.
Key stock analysis
- Mag7 — leverage-trading the basket; Microsoft (quick +2.5% scalp, spot held), Apple (started, hold to the range high).
- Robinhood — spot long at value-area-low; may leverage-trade the rotation in May if it still lags.
Bitcoin and crypto
- Bitcoin — healthy auction (shorts absorbed at the lows) but still below the daily trendline, so treat it as a relief rally for now; green-box CME gap into the low-80s then a likely rejection. Long in 'zone B' fair value (spot, no leverage); watch the 3-day VWAP for a possible drop to the mid-50s anchored VWAP / golden pocket.
- Every prior bear market tested the Fibonacci 786 — open question whether institutional buying (per COT) means diminishing pullbacks this time.
- Ethereum — ranging; the weekly Wolf Pack ID crossing green points to a large value-migration move; the Clarity Act the likely catalyst; short-term target +10–20%.
Astrology and space
- Covered — the Mercury-retrograde / Uranus-into-Gemini window used as the bottoming timing.
Positioning (as stated)
- Leverage Mag7 (Microsoft, Apple started); Robinhood spot at value-area-low; Bitcoin spot (zone-B long, in profit) and Ethereum spot accumulated.
- Introducing leverage now.
Key takeaways
- Low likely in — confirmation is the 200-day MA retest holding; then buy the dip with leverage for the summer.
- Trade Mag7 with leverage now (the right part of the cycle); bank P&L before the September mid-term chop.
- Bitcoin spot in zone B (no leverage) — watch the 3-day VWAP for downside to the mid-50s.
- Ethereum's weekly Wolf Pack green could fire a big move on a Clarity Act catalyst.
Summary of the weekly members video for educational purposes only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a trade signal. Past analysis is not indicative of future results.