Channel note and prior week
- The TradingDrip → MarketDrip rebrand (wants to do institutional-grade reports; 'trading' is overdone); 82 weeks of game plans.
- The S&P Fib-extension resistance call held; price is holding the anchored-VWAP outer band (from the Liberation Day low) = a strong / fast rhythm (a pullback to the anchored VWAP would still be bullish).
Macro and the week ahead
- Valuation not expensive vs bonds/gold → no reason to short. The slowdown is September seasonality + a total lunar eclipse this month (the same event that amplified April's tariff panic/reset); investors await 100% rate-cut confirmation (~90% September cut). Friday's jobs data = bad news is good news for cuts.
- Mag7 is lagging (Microsoft / Tesla / Apple not near highs) → small-cap-rotation calls (Russell 2000, a Santa rally) — but stay heavy in Mag7 (alt/small-cap season is rarely called right); crypto is the risk exposure (Oct/Nov/Dec historically very bullish). COT: retail + smart money both long the S&P (don't short).
Key stock analysis
- Bitcoin a 'hidden correction' on the 3-day — VWAP making lower lows but price holding = a whale / MSTR absorbing ~$100k; the low is near (a momentum reset). DCA for an October move; wait for the Wolf Pack green before any leverage.
- MicroStrategy the levered accumulate (first weekly reset since March — DCA spot, ride to VAH/ATH, maybe leverage by end-Sept/Oct). Bitmine the contrarian fire-sale (DCA, +20% overnight when ETH runs; could be $500–1,000 if ETH → $15k). Tesla (10% left, waiting to re-size at VAL/naked PCs). Gold may break out (stagflation), but not something he trades. Coinbase alert just below the anchored VWAP.
Bitcoin and crypto
- Commercials net short Bitcoin (can cover if retail turns bullish in Q4); September is weak (last year's yen carry-trade unwind had BTC ~$60k → now >$100k) but Oct/Nov/Dec are historically very bullish for crypto.
- ETH the trade to watch next — CME CVD holding up (treasuries accumulating = a rotation from weak retail to institutions, the Bitcoin COT story); money flow still thick.
Astrology and space
- Covered — a total lunar eclipse this month (the April analog that amplified the tariff panic/reset) plus September seasonality.
Positioning (as stated)
- Cash-heavy (50%) in September to buy dips; accumulating MSTR + Bitmine (DCA, no leverage yet); Tesla 10% (waiting to re-size); won't short; Coinbase alert set.
Key takeaways
- Valuation not expensive (don't short) — the slowdown is September seasonality + a total lunar eclipse (the April analog); investors await rate-cut confirmation (Friday's jobs data = bad news is good news).
- Stay heavy in Mag7 (small-cap/alt season rarely comes); crypto the risk exposure (Oct/Nov/Dec historically very bullish). Bitcoin a 'hidden correction' (a whale/MSTR absorbing ~$100k, the low near) — DCA for an October move.
- MSTR/Bitmine the levered accumulate (Bitmine the contrarian fire-sale, +20% overnight when ETH runs). Cash-heavy 50% to buy dips; don't short; ETH the trade to watch next.
Summary of the weekly members video for educational purposes only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a trade signal. Past analysis is not indicative of future results.