Prior week — call accuracy
- On track — A 'beautiful' valuation-tool reset (the late sell signal, gold line at net-neutral = a local bottom) and COT (hedge funds starting to add, commercials buying Bitcoin) keep the bullish thesis intact into Q4.
Macro and the week ahead
- Momentum: a 4h green dot, Wolf Pack about to cross, the daily clipping up → likely a new high this week (don't fight the Fed). ~90% Oct cut + ~70% Dec priced; Friday's nonfarm payrolls / unemployment may be shutdown-delayed, which keeps the rate-cut pricing.
- Russell 2000 (the altcoin/ETH proxy) — a trend-continuation trigger wave (+2.4%) = bullish for ETH. Quarter close tomorrow (some profit-taking) then Q4 buying.
Key stock analysis
- Bitmine the standout — VWAP coming in, a tight trigger wave; targets the naked PC ~$68 → local high ~$70 → then $100 (conservative by Nov/Dec = +100%, double your money; MNAV ~1.11, only 40% to its ETH target); a passive hold plus a top day-trade instrument (the '1% a day' strategy via the 200-day + 2-min green dots).
- MSTR (swept VAL, bullish divergence → target $600–700 if BTC nears $150k). Coinbase (wants a sweep sub-$300), Robinhood (wants an entry sub-$100), Tesla (the golden-pocket retest), AMD (+15% to the high then $225). October plan: take MSTR profits → rotate into Robinhood / Tesla.
Bitcoin and crypto
- Came down to the outer anchored-VWAP band (from the ~$60k Trump-era anchor) = trend still up; RSIs oversold, momentum coming in. Wants it to hold (a deeper pullback → bear-market fears; worst case the mid-90s PC / high-volume-node).
- COT: commercials started buying this week — wants that line to drive higher (like prior value migrations to new ATHs); target a new fair value of $130k–$150k as a year-to-date high.
- Ethereum a possible local bottom (money-flow resets are usually rejected unless a bear) — needs a reclaim of value-area-low → value-area-high → then imbalance calls for $5k/$6k/$7k by year-end. Bitmine the beta.
Astrology and space
- Not covered this week — seasonality-, COT- and momentum-led.
Positioning (as stated)
- Risk-on into Q4; Bitmine passive (plus day-trading); MSTR (cost basis ~VAL, take profits in October); waiting on Robinhood sub-$100, Coinbase sub-$300, Tesla golden pocket; AMD held; light leverage.
Key takeaways
- A beautiful valuation reset + COT (hedge funds adding, commercials buying Bitcoin) → very bullish; S&P/Nasdaq likely break to new highs (don't fight the Fed; Friday's labour data may be shutdown-delayed, keeping the rate-cut pricing).
- Bitmine the standout — conservative $100 by Nov/Dec = +100% (passive + the '1% a day' day-trade); MSTR $600–700 if BTC nears $150k.
- Bitcoin held the outer anchored-VWAP band (trend up), commercials buying → target $130k–$150k. October plan: take MSTR profits → rotate into Robinhood (sub-$100) / Tesla.
Summary of the weekly members video for educational purposes only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a trade signal. Past analysis is not indicative of future results.