Channel note and prior week
- TradingDrip has rebranded to MarketDrip; the endless trading course is now the 'Learn the MTS Method' playlist (module videos).
- S&P holding above the 200-day EMA (trend up), CVD higher highs (no major absorption); gold broke to a new ATH as predicted (the gold-outperformance call).
Macro and the week ahead
- Rate cuts being aggressively priced — weak labour data took the 2nd-cut odds to ~75% and the market is now pricing THREE cuts this year. Bears cite recession/stagflation (the UK / FTSE), but even the FTSE is rising — markets are driven by liquidity.
- In stagflation, favour scarce assets (gold, Bitcoin) that do well in easing over consumer-spending names (Apple). The last Bitcoin bear was a rate-HIKING cycle — the opposite of now, so a deep bear is unlikely (worst case sideways). Be cash-heavy in September seasonality to buy dips; don't short into a cutting cycle.
Key stock analysis
- MicroStrategy — 'no better time to accumulate': the balance sheet is stronger than at the highs; if BTC breaks to $130–150k it breaks its high; final buys at ~$300. Bitmine — at ~1 MNAV (price ≈ its ETH cost basis) = 'an absolute fire sale' (will be the largest crypto treasury; buys back shares below 1 MNAV = hard support; ETH on leverage with little downside).
- Bitcoin is now LESS volatile than Nvidia (institutionalised) — digital gold, a growth/liquidity bet; he's getting contrarian-bullish as others fear. Ticker requests: Solana (likely a new high), HBAR / XRP (most alts long-term downtrend → prefer treasuries; moonbag and derisk fast).
Bitcoin and crypto
- Money flow wants to push down (Bitcoin unpopular this month) but price is holding the outer anchored-VWAP band (the 12-month / Trump value-migration anchor); major support = the POC high-volume-node (post-Trump cost basis). A break → black swan or a value migration down; otherwise the trend is still up.
- Ethereum — CME order flow shows absorption of shorts (treasuries absorbing), RSIs just overlapping oversold green; September is seasonally weak (a flush below $4,000 possible) — he'd actually prefer ETH consolidate at $4,000 to extend the bull run. His ETH exposure is via Bitmine; ETH the best-positioned alt (institutionalising) vs smaller alts (short-lived outperformance; retail is broke).
Astrology and space
- Not covered this week — seasonality-, liquidity- and order-flow-led.
Positioning (as stated)
- ETH via Bitmine (cost basis at the anchored VWAP, won't add this early in September); MicroStrategy (final buys ~$300); cash-heavy in September to buy dips; won't short; contrarian-bullish on Bitcoin.
Key takeaways
- Rate cuts aggressively pricing in (three this year on weak labour) = bullish; markets are driven by liquidity (even the FTSE rises) — the last Bitcoin bear was a rate-HIKING cycle, so a deep bear is unlikely now (worst case sideways).
- Be cash-heavy in September seasonality to buy dips; don't short. Bitcoin is now less volatile than Nvidia (institutionalised) — digital gold, a growth/liquidity bet; getting contrarian-bullish as others fear.
- MicroStrategy 'no better time to accumulate' (final buys ~$300); Bitmine at ~1 MNAV = 'a fire sale' (the largest crypto treasury to be; ETH on leverage with little downside). ETH via Bitmine; alt season short-lived — prefer ETH/treasuries over smaller alts.
Summary of the weekly members video for educational purposes only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a trade signal. Past analysis is not indicative of future results.