Prior week — call accuracy
- Correct — The solar-eclipse top is in, CVD shows absorption of longs at the green-box top (flagged since September), and price is breaking recent support — 'it's about to get bloodier.'
Macro and the week ahead
- Full MTS alignment turned bearish — price broke the outer-SD band toward the anchored-VWAP fair price (~6,400); expect a pullback there (~5–12%) by end-April, possibly deeper. The valuation tool now flashes a SELL on equities versus bonds and gold.
- COT: commercials indecisive (~50/50, slightly short), retail leaving — want retail aggression to confirm a bull. The green-box bottom is the leverage-long zone; don't be fully allocated.
- Liberation-Day analog: a Mercury-retrograde rotation into bonds, then a valuation buy signal, marked the bottom.
Key stock analysis
- Amazon — bought 50% at an extreme of fair value (the robotics wave; the gap is filled); expect ~15% more downside if the S&P falls ~12%, then accumulate toward new highs.
- Robinhood — the #1 beta ('levered S&P without liquidation or decay risk'); support near the high-volume-node / green box, with daily bull divergences forming.
- Tesla — the car business is failing; the hype is the SpaceX merger.
Bitcoin and crypto
- Bitcoin back in the $60s and 'cheap' — accumulating spot (no leverage; prepared for drawdown to the mid-50s). COT commercials reduced longs this week (a leading-warning concern); Tom Lee / Tom DeMark expect one more swing-failure.
- A 3-day bullish divergence with a cat eye — but wait for the Wolf Pack ID confirmation before leverage; relief-rally targets ~$80k, ~$87k, then POC mid-90s.
- Bear low could be ~September (a 1-year bear) or shorter (the premature all-time-high break).
Astrology and space
- Covered — the solar eclipse as the topping marker, with Mercury retrograde and the lunar eclipse the fear window ahead.
Positioning (as stated)
- Spot Bitcoin (no leverage, ok to a mid-50s drawdown); Amazon 50%; watching Robinhood; not fully allocated, holding cash to buy fear.
Key takeaways
- Solar-eclipse top — bearish next weeks: expect an S&P pullback to the anchored VWAP (~5–12%) by end-April; the green-box bottom is the leverage-long zone.
- Don't be fully allocated; hold cash to buy fear.
- Bitcoin cheap in the $60s — accumulate spot, but wait for the 3-day Wolf Pack before leverage (one more dip to the mid-50s likely).
- Buy zones: Amazon (robotics, 50% in), Robinhood (#1 beta).
Summary of the weekly members video for educational purposes only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a trade signal. Past analysis is not indicative of future results.