Screener
Two lenses on capital flow. IMB reads intermarket ratios to find sectors absorbing inflows now and surfaces named trade ideas in those hot lanes. ROT runs a Sharpe-180 screen across ~200 stocks for mean-reversion candidates, with sparkline trend per name and counter-rotation flags tied back to IMB. The tabs auto-suggest the right lens for current conditions.
Risk-On with 4 bullish sectors — IMB is the right lens. Trade the green lanes; let ROT wait.
Macro ratios
8
masters + credit + directional
US sectors
11
full GICS coverage
Theme universe
41
ranked — top 10 surface
Ideas scanned
18
constituents of green sectors
Refresh
15 min
Yahoo data + page cache
Regime verdict
3/4 master gauges bullish — capital is reaching for risk.
Business cycle
Global growth is decelerating from above-trend levels while policy remains restrictive. Late-cycle dynamics favour quality, large-cap defensives, and commodities over high-beta cyclicals. Watch for the first credit-spread widening as the tell for a phase transition.
Expected leaders
Master gauges
The four ratios that anchor the regime. Rule: ≥2/4 bullish before adding theme exposure.
XLY/XLP
Discretionary / Staples
Reaching for risk, or hiding in defence?
Current
1.365
vs SMA20
+0.88%
vs SMA50
−0.96%
HYG/LQD
High-Yield / Investment-Grade
Credit appetite — junk vs safety.
Current
0.748
vs SMA20
+0.66%
vs SMA50
+1.42%
SPY/TLT
Stocks / Long Bonds
Risk vs duration — the macro reach signal.
Current
9.082
vs SMA20
+2.16%
vs SMA50
+3.60%
CPER/GLD
Copper / Gold
Growth expectations vs fear bid.
Current
0.106
vs SMA20
+3.55%
vs SMA50
+6.54%
Credit & breadth
Secondary risk reads — broad participation and credit appetite.
Equal-weight / Cap-weight
+0.26% vs SMA20
+1.42% SMA50
Junk / IG
+0.65% vs SMA20
+1.37% SMA50
High-Beta / Low-Vol
−2.46% vs SMA20
−6.62% SMA50
Small / Large-cap
−1.13% vs SMA20
−0.72% SMA50
US sector ratios vs SPY
Where the leadership is. ★ = expected to lead in this cycle phase. Sorted by % distance from the 20-day SMA.
| Pair | Sector | Cycle | Current | vs SMA20 | vs SMA50 | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLE/SPY | Energy Oil & gas. | 0.080 | +3.73% | +4.78% | BULLISH | |
| XLY/SPY | Discretionary Consumer risk. | — | 0.155 | +1.15% | −0.27% | MIXED |
| XLF/SPY | Financials Banks / insurance. | — | 0.076 | +0.98% | +4.77% | BULLISH |
| XLP/SPY | Staples Defensive consumer. | — | 0.114 | +0.21% | +0.65% | BULLISH |
| XLV/SPY | Healthcare Defensive growth. | 0.218 | +0.19% | +3.68% | BULLISH | |
| XLRE/SPY | Real Estate Rate-sensitive. | — | 0.060 | −0.16% | +0.55% | MIXED |
| XLI/SPY | Industrials Capex / cycle. | — | 0.241 | −0.62% | +0.50% | MIXED |
| XLB/SPY | Materials Industrial inputs. | 0.068 | −1.11% | −1.53% | BEARISH | |
| XLC/SPY | Communications Media + telco. | — | 0.145 | −1.59% | −2.59% | BEARISH |
| XLK/SPY | Technology Tech leadership. | — | 0.235 | −1.90% | −4.42% | BEARISH |
| XLU/SPY | Utilities Pure defensive. | — | 0.059 | −2.45% | −1.70% | MIXED |
Today's ideas
Top constituents within the green sectors above, ranked by stock's own momentum (% above its 20-day SMA). RS = stock's 20-day return minus its sector's 20-day return — positive means it's leading the sector.
| Ticker | Name | Price | vs SMA20 | RS vs sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | Chevron | $196.83 | +6.20% | +4.44% |
| EOG | EOG Resources | $148.69 | +6.09% | +1.80% |
| COP | ConocoPhillips | $120.48 | +5.54% | +3.14% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | $316.47 | +4.95% | +6.92% |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil | $155.44 | +4.73% | +1.49% |
| SLB | Schlumberger | $49.59 | +3.27% | −2.01% |
| Ticker | Name | Price | vs SMA20 | RS vs sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA | Mastercard | $573.10 | +5.58% | +3.88% |
| BRK-B | Berkshire | $511.54 | +2.81% | −1.63% |
| V | Visa | $366.13 | +2.35% | −1.27% |
| JPM | JPMorgan | $351.79 | +2.20% | +2.81% |
| BAC | Bank of America | $61.95 | +1.76% | +3.11% |
| Ticker | Name | Price | vs SMA20 | RS vs sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KO | Coca-Cola | $87.59 | +4.27% | +4.03% |
| COST | Costco | $951.89 | +1.36% | −0.05% |
| PM | Philip Morris | $190.82 | +1.00% | +4.62% |
| PEP | PepsiCo | $139.56 | +0.56% | −3.30% |
Themes — emerging
Top-10 from a 40-strong candidate universe. Auto-discovered — the list re-orders as capital rotates over months and years.
| Pair | Theme | vs SMA20 | vs SMA50 | State | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KWEB/SPY | China internet China tech. | +6.06% | +7.77% | BULLISH | |
| XOP/SPY | Oil & gas E&P Producers (smid-cap). | +5.57% | +7.62% | BULLISH | |
| WCLD/SPY | Cloud computing SaaS / cloud. | +3.59% | +9.31% | BULLISH | |
| HERO/SPY | Esports / video Esports + games. | +2.69% | +3.58% | BULLISH | |
| COPX/SPY | Copper miners Copper producers. | +2.65% | −2.51% | MIXED | |
| IHI/SPY | Medical devices Med-tech. | +2.40% | +4.05% | BULLISH | |
| IGV/SPY | Software Software equities. | +2.27% | +1.57% | MIXED | |
| INDA/SPY | India India equities. | +1.64% | +1.92% | BULLISH | |
| OIH/SPY | Oil services Drillers / services. | +1.44% | −3.35% | MIXED | |
| XRT/SPY | Retail Brick + online retail. | +1.12% | +3.31% | BULLISH |
Themes — fading
The 5 weakest themes from the same universe. These are objectively losing capital.
| Pair | Theme | vs SMA20 | vs SMA50 | State | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJK/SPY | Gaming Casinos + gaming. | — | — | — | |
| REMX/SPY | Rare earths Strategic metals. | −10.09% | −23.05% | BEARISH | |
| TAN/SPY | Solar Solar pure-play. | −7.10% | −16.96% | BEARISH | |
| ARKK/SPY | Spec growth Disruptive innovation. | −7.02% | −8.30% | BEARISH | |
| SMH/SPY | AI / Semis Semiconductors. | −5.58% | −9.57% | BEARISH |
How to read it
MTS framing — this is the Space pillar.
Regime first. When the master gauges agree (≥3/4 bullish), capital is leaning into risk. Below 2/4 bullish, defence wins. Mixed = trim.
Cycle overlay. The ★ markers show which sectors historically lead in the current phase. If actual leaders DIVERGE from expected, the cycle classifier may be early or wrong — extra caution warranted.
Themes are auto-discovered. No theme is hardcoded as "the AI play" — the list updates organically. When fintech leaves the top-10 and fusion enters, that's the rotation telling you.
Trade ideas drill down. Within each green sector, the top constituents trading above their own 20-day SMA are the names with both regime AND personal momentum behind them. Stop = SMA20 cross. Cut at first red signal.